July 19, 2005 · Cass Sunstein
Odd: Some people have objected to my little post about Judge Clement, but apparently its substance was right. People were indeed participating in an informational cascade. Unfortunately, I ended up joining that cascade (tentatively). The confident view that the President had chosen Judge Clement, like the confident view that the Chief Justice was about to retire, was clearly a process in which many people were confidently relying on unreliable people, to the point where the number of (confident) people was misleadingly high. That’s a (bad) cascade. With respect to the confirmation hearings, I predict we’ll see at least one other bad cascade in the next two months. Let’s watch for it.